We’re reposting these notes by world-systems analyst Immanuel Wallerstein because of their concise presentation and contribution towards an understanding of our present situation. Here in California we are in the midst of interesting and exciting developments of struggle against budget cuts, the outward expression of the crisis of capital.
In this context radical forces should be engaging in “serious internal struggles over the correct strategy to pursue.” We’ve seen this develop in the student movement (see the posts below) and will continue to see it as resistance spreads.
The Current Conjuncture: Short-run and Middle-run Projections
by Immanuel Wallerstein
1. Where We Are:
a) The world has entered a depression, whose greatest impact is yet to come (in the next five years).
b) The United States has entered a serious decline in geopolitical power, whose greatest impact is yet to come (in the next five years).
c) The world environment is entering into serious crisis (and nothing much will be done about it) (in the next five years).
d) The rumblings of left-oriented social movements are everywhere, but they are poorly coordinated and lack clear tactical vision (because they lack clear middle-run strategic vision).
e) Far-right forces have clearer short-run tactical vision than the left (a combination of preparing for violence and a refusal of all centrist compromise), but they too lack clear middle-run strategic vision.
f) The future (both short-run and middle-run) is very, very uncertain. Continue reading